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Nebraska Football has a better chance to win the B1G West than you think

By Oliver Vandervoort

Oct 28, 2023; Lincoln, Nebraska, USA; Nebraska Cornhuskers place kicker Tristan Alvano (30) and long snapper Marco Ortiz (45) celebrate after an extra point during the fourth quarter against the Purdue Boilermakers at Memorial Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Dylan Widger-USA TODAY Sports
Oct 28, 2023; Lincoln, Nebraska, USA; Nebraska Cornhuskers place kicker Tristan Alvano (30) and long snapper Marco Ortiz (45) celebrate after an extra point during the fourth quarter against the Purdue Boilermakers at Memorial Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Dylan Widger-USA TODAY Sports /
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The Nebraska Football team not only has a chance to win the Big Ten West, but they actually have a better chance than Husker fans likely thought.

As Nebraska Football and the rest of the Big Ten West enter the final stretch of the regular season, the Huskers sit at 5-3 and have a better chance of winning the division than anyone would have thought after their season-opening loss to Minnesota.

Not only does the Nebraska Football team have a better chance at winning the division than anyone expected, they probably have a better chance to win than most people realize. It turns out, the Huskers have the second best chances of winning the Big Ten West, according to a statistical expert on this kind of thing.

According to a Twitter account known as Arbitrary Analytics, the Nebraska Football team has a 14.8 percent chance of winning the B1G West when running through all the potential scenarios. That’s second behind only the Wisconsin Badgers, who have a 15.3 percent chance of getting the job done.

That’s close to what ESPN’s FPI has at the moment. Those numbers show that Wisconsin actually has a much better chance of winning the division (37 percent) followed by Minnesota’s 11.8 percent and the Huskers’ 8.5 percent.

Nebraska Football can help its own case in winning the Big Ten West

The Huskers did themselves quite a few favors by knocking off the Purdue Boilermakers on Saturday. By winning that game, they all but knocked their B1G rivals out of the running while jumping into a four-team tie at the top.

For the most part, Nebraska Football controls its own destiny. If it wins out, they only need Minnesota to suffer one loss the rest of the way. Minny’s final four games are Illinois, Purdue, Ohio State and Wisconsin. Of those four, the Buckeyes seem the best chance for the Gophers to lose, but there’s no guarantee they won’t also lose to Wisconsin.

Even if the Huskers don’t win out, they still have a chance at the division, it just gets quite a bit more complicated. The Huskers actually have a bit more breathing room than some of their divisional foes because they have two more games against Big Ten East opponents.

However, If Nebraska Football wants to take the title, they’re going to want just to handle their business against Michigan State, Wisconsin, Maryland, and Iowa. Then root hard for Ohio State.

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